Mistake Type:
False Cause
Inaccurately claiming that a correlation or temporal proximity between two events implies causality, thereby oversimplifying or misconstruing the underlying factors.

Examples:
“It happened on her watch, what can you say?”
“Gas prices dropped after we elected this president. His wise policies are responsible for it.”
“They passed the health care law, and now my premiums have gone up. Not a coincidence.”
About False Cause:
False Cause mistakes arise when a person suggests that because two phenomena are correlated or two events happen in sequence, one must have caused the other. This fallacy capitalizes on the human tendency to look for patterns and causality in the world around us, even when none may exist. In doing so, it replaces complex, multi-causal explanations with overly simplified and often misleading ones.
For example, politicians might use False Cause to claim credit for positive outcomes that occurred during their tenure or to assign blame for negative events to their opponents. Similarly, activists may employ this tactic to attribute societal changes to specific actions or events, even when the evidence doesn’t support such conclusions. By focusing on an incorrect or overly simplistic cause, efforts to address the real underlying issues may be misdirected, resulting in ineffective or even counterproductive outcomes. It can be related to Opinion As Fact and Hearsay, all three relying on an individual’s erroneous conclusion and an audience’s lack of knowledge and willingness to take the information as fact.
One reason False Cause is so effective, particularly on social media, is that it offers simple talking points, which is appealing to an audience looking for quick solutions or someone to blame. Additionally, the tactic plays well in the “sound-bite culture” of social media, where nuanced discussion is difficult and catchy, easily digestible information gets likes and shares easily.